Are the odds of predicting that someone would win the lottery the same as just some random person winning the lottery, or are they different probabilities? Because to me, if I read that someone had won the lottery, I wouldn’t be that amazed, but if someone predicted that a particular person would win and that prediction came true, I’d think that’s far more far-fetch.

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Sure. The probability that a specific person wins in a lottery is much smaller than the probability that an arbitrary person of a population wins in a lottery. In the first case there are much more persons who have the chance of winning. Sounds it logic to you ?

– callculus

2 days ago

1

You do not know how many tickets the person bought. If someone buys one of every combination, then they will “win” the lottery. This then is not a surprise.

– bvaughn

2 days ago

Would anyone know how to calculate the probability of a specific person winning the lottery then?

– user329957

2 days ago

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